GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Macy's Inc (NYSE:M) » Definitions » Altman Z2-Score

Macy's (Macy's) Altman Z2-Score : 2.38 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1992. Start your Free Trial

What is Macy's Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Macy's has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.38, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Macy's is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Macy's's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

M' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -0.5   Med: 2.56   Max: 3.43
Current: 2.38

During the past 13 years, Macy's's highest Altman Z2-Score was 3.43. The lowest was -0.50. And the median was 2.56.


Macy's Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Macy's's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Macy's Altman Z2-Score Chart

Macy's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.31 -0.50 2.56 2.60 2.38

Macy's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.60 2.59 2.51 2.19 2.38

Competitive Comparison of Macy's's Altman Z2-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Macy's's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Macy's's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Macy's's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Macy's's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Macy's Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Macy's's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1021+3.26*0.381+6.72*0.016+1.05*0.3416
=2.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $16,246 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $6,089 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $4,430 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $6,190 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -102 + 46 + -30 + 211 = $125 Mil.
Interest Expense was -27 + -35 + -36 + -37 = $-135 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $12,109 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(6089 - 4430)/16246
=0.1021

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=6190/16246
=0.381

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(125 - -135)/16246
=0.016

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(4137 - 0)/12109
=0.3416

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Macy's has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.38 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Macy's  (NYSE:M) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Macy's Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Macy's's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Macy's (Macy's) Business Description

Address
151 West 34th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Founded in 1858 and based in New York City, Macy's operates about 550 stores under the Macy's nameplate, nearly 60 stores under the Bloomingdale's (full-price and outlet) and Bloomie's nameplates, and 158 freestanding Bluemercury specialty beauty stores. Macy's also operates e-commerce sites and licenses two Bloomingdale's stores in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Women's apparel, accessories, shoes, cosmetics, and fragrances composed 61% of Macy's 2022 sales.
Executives
Adrian V Mitchell officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul Griscom officer: Interim Principal Acctg. Offr. C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
Danielle L. Kirgan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Garcia C Elisa D officer: Chief Legal Officer 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jeffrey Gennette officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Antony Spring officer: Chairman & CEO, Bloomingdale's C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Naveen K. Chopra director C/O 2160 GOLD STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Emilie Arel director C/O CASPER SLEEP INC., 175 GREENWICH ST., THREE WORLD TRADE CENTER, FLOOR 39, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jill Granoff director LIZ CLAIBORNE, INC., 1441 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Marie A Chandoha director C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 211 MAIN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ashley Buchanan director C/O THE MICHAELS COMPANIES, INC., 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Tracey Zhen director C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
John T. Harper officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Felicia Williams officer: EVP,Controller/Enterprise Risk C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001